FY 2021 Educational Facilities Master Plan

Kindergarten/Birth 1st Grade/Birth Kindergarten/Birth 1st Grade/Birth Average Ratios Average Ratios Most Recent-1 (BIRTHS 12) [11] 0.9700 0.9323 Average Last 3-5 (BIRTHS06-08)[05-07 ) 0.9360 0.9372 Average Last 2 (BIRTHS 12-13)[11-12 0.9774 0.9794 Average Last 3-8 (BIRTHS03-05)[02-04 ) 0.9486 1.0009 Average Last 2-3 (BIRTHS 09-10)[08-09 0.9238 0.9592 Average Last 4-1 (BIRTHS09-12)[08-11 ) 0.9305 0.9425 Average Last 2-6 (BIRTHS 06-07)[05-06 0.9403 0.9325 Average Last 4-4 (BIRTHS06-09)[05-08 ) 0.9373 0.9442 Average Last 2-8 (BIRTHS 04-05)[03-04 0.9293 0.9682 Average Last 4-10 (BIRTHS00-03)[99-02 ) 1.0248 1.0569 Average Last 2-10 (BIRTHS 02-03)[01-02 1.0210 1.0358 Average Last 5-1 (BIRTHS08-12)[07-11 ) 0.9299 0.9433 Average Last 3-1 (BIRTHS 10-12)[09-11 0.9270 0.9350 Average Last 5-3 (BIRTHS06-10)[05-09 ) 0.9311 0.9460 Average Last 3-3 (BIRTHS 08-10)[07-09 0.9250 0.9550 Average Last 5-5 (BIRTHS04-08)[03-07 ) 0.9334 0.9496 *Projected Values Data Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning Average Last 3-2 (BIRTHS 09-11)[08-10 0.9173 0.9459 Average Last 5-4 (BIRTHS05-09)[04-08 ) 0.9325 0.9428 Average Last 3 (BIRTHS 11-13)[10-12 0.9531 0.9594 Average Last 5-2 (BIRTHS07-11)[06-10 ) 0.9187 0.9481 Average Last 2-9 (BIRTHS 03-04)[02-03 0.9662 1.0328 Average Last 5 (BIRTHS09-13)[08-12 ) 0.9414 0.9593 Average Last 2-7 (BIRTHS 05-06)[04-05 0.9400 0.9229 Average Last 4-5 (BIRTHS05-08)[04-07 ) 0.9304 0.9372 Average Last 2-4 (BIRTHS 08-09)[07-08 0.9342 0.9558 Average Last 4-2 (BIRTHS08-11)[07-10 ) 0.9199 0.9461 Average Last 2-5 (BIRTHS 07-08)[06-07 0.9208 0.9515 Average Last 4-3 (BIRTHS07-10)[06-09 ) 0.9223 0.9554 Average Last 2-1 (BIRTHS 11-12)[10-11 0.9372 0.9257 Average Last 3-9 (BIRTHS02-04)[01-03 ) 0.9958 1.0236 Average Last 2-2 (BIRTHS 10-11)[09-10 0.9055 0.9364 Average Last 4 (BIRTHS10-13)[09-12 ) 0.9415 0.9579 Most Recent-2 (BIRTHS 11) [10] 0.9044 0.9192 Average Last 3-6 (BIRTHS05-07)[04-06 ) 0.9313 0.9341 Most Recent-3 (BIRTHS 10) [09] 0.9067 0.9535 Average Last 3-7 (BIRTHS04-06)[03-05 ) 0.9418 0.9483 Most Recent (BIRTHS 13) [12] 0.9849 1.0266 Average Last 3-4 (BIRTHS07-09)[06-08 ) 0.9275 0.9560

Ratio Kindergarten and First Grade to Births - Historical and Projected Wicomico County Preliminary for LEA Review Ratio Ratio Enrollment Ratio Ratio Enrollment Base Year Births Year Enrollment to Births Year Enrollment to Births 1982 928 1987 948 1.0213 1988 1,193 1.2854 Historical kindergarten and 1983 931 1988 975 1.0470 1989 1,245 1.3375 first grade enrollments through 1984 957 1989 940 0.9822 1990 1,205 1.2592 2003 include graded students 1985 1,073 1990 1,068 0.9956 1991 1,310 1.2205 plus a proportional share of 1986 1,015 1991 1,004 0.9895 1992 1,277 1.2583 special and ungraded elementary 1987 970 1992 995 1.0257 1993 1,214 1.2518 students. Starting in 2004, 1988 1,034 1993 1,017 0.9835 1994 1,201 1.1611 all students are assigned to 1989 1,134 1994 1,043 0.9201 1995 1,294 1.1412 a specific grade. 1990 1,162 1995 1,054 0.9071 1996 1,240 1.0674 1991 1,147 1996 1,048 0.9135 1997 1,296 1.1296 Historical birth data is from 1992 1,172 1997 1,022 0.8724 1998 1,241 1.0588 The Maryland Department of 1993 1,129 1998 1,026 0.9091 1999 1,259 1.1149 Health and Mental Hygiene. 1994 1,128 1999 973 0.8628 2000 1,197 1.0610 Data is derived by geocoding 1995 1,021 2000 872 0.8542 2001 1,069 1.0469 the birth mother's address to 1996 1,084 2001 935 0.8622 2002 1,139 1.0509 the jurisdiction of residence. 1997 1,095 2002 994 0.9078 2003 1,198 1.0941 1998 t 940 2003 961 1.0223 2004 1,116 1.1872 t=Transition Births. 1999 t 1,036 2004 1,032 0.9961 2005 1,124 1.0849 1970-1997 are calendar year 2000 t 1,077 2005 1,119 1.0390 2006 1,164 1.0808 births. 1998 and after are 2001 t 1,064 2006 1,137 1.0686 2007 1,144 1.0752 "kindergarten eligible" births 2002 t 1,146 2007 1,133 0.9887 2008 1,152 1.0052 (the sum of parts of two Kindergarten 1st Grade

2003 t 1,129 2008 1,191 1.0549 2009 1,204 1.0664 consecutive years). With the 2004 t 1,166 2009 1,151 0.9871 2010 1,165 0.9991 transition of older kindergarten

2005 t 1,242 2010 1,174 0.9452 2011 1,164 0.9372 age requirements through 2006, 2006 t 1,259 2011 1,150 0.9134 2012 1,144 0.9087 only 11 months of births are 2007 t 1,377 2012 1,331 0.9666 2013 1,317 0.9564 kindergarten eligible for birth

2008 t 1,349 2013 1,233 0.9140 2014 1,277 0.9466 years 1998-2001 corresponding 2009 t 1,311 2014 1,216 0.9275 2015 1,265 0.9649 to kindergarten years 2003-2006. 2010 t 1,269 2015 1,194 0.9409 2016 1,210 0.9535

2011 t 1,275 2016 1,156 0.9067 2017 1,172 0.9192 Beginning with school year 2007, 2012 t 1,255 2017 1,135 0.9044 2018 1,170 0.9323 12 months of births are eligible

2013 t 1,166 2018 1,131 0.9700 2019 1,197 1.0266 for kindergarten (September to 2014 t 1,193 2019 1,175 0.9849 2020* 1,170 0.9800 December 2001 and January to 2015 t 1,213 2020 * 1180. 0.9700 2021* 1,190 0.9800 August 2002). All subsequent

2016 t 1,308 2021 * 1210. 0.9250 2022* 1,280 0.9800 school years have a September to 2017 t 1,227 2022 * 1190. 0.9700 2023* 1,200 0.9800 the following August time frame 2018 t 1,256 2023 * 1210. 0.9600 2024* 1,230 0.9800 for kindergarten eligibility. 2019*t 1,250 2024 * 1200. 0.9600 2025* 1,230 0.9800 2020*t 1,260 2025 * 1210. 0.9600 2026* 1,220 0.9700 2021*t 1,280 2026 * 1220. 0.9500 2027* 1,240 0.9700 2022*t 1,300 2027 * 1240. 0.9500 2028* 1,260 0.9700 2023*t 1,320 2028 * 1250. 0.9500 2029* 1,280 0.9700 2024*t 1,340 2029 * 1270. 0.9500

Wicomico County Public Schools Educational Facilities Master Plan FY 2021

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